# Bologna vs AS Roma UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Preview and Betting Analysis
The upcoming UEFA Europa League Round of 16 clash between Bologna and AS Roma presents an intriguing tactical battle. Bookmakers have not provided explicit odds here, but given Bologna's strong recent form and momentum of 30/45 compared to Roma's average 18/45, the home side holds a slight edge in confidence and rhythm. Bologna's last five matches show a solid defensive foundation with 4 clean sheets and a modest average of 1.0 goals per game, indicating a disciplined, low-scoring approach. Roma, while more prolific offensively with 2.2 goals per game, have conceded 7 goals in their last five, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Historically, Bologna have a slight upper hand in recent head-to-heads, winning 4 of the last 10 encounters, including a 3-1 home victory and a recent 3-2 away win, showing they can score against Roma. The absence of key Roma attackers like Tammy Abraham and Romelu Lukaku due to injuries/suspensions further dampens their attacking threat. Bologna’s momentum, home advantage, and defensive solidity contrast with Roma’s inconsistent form and personnel issues. This match is likely to be tight, with Bologna favored to edge a narrow win, possibly 1-0 or 2-1. Given both teams’ scoring trends and defensive records, BTTS is less likely, and the combined average goals suggest an under 2.5 goals outcome. Psychological factors such as Roma’s need to overcome recent setbacks and Bologna’s confidence boost from recent wins will also influence the match dynamics.
## Predictions
Match Winner: home (45%) Over/Under 2.5: under (65% confidence) Both Teams to Score: no (70% confidence) Correct Score: 1-0 Confidence Level: medium
Best Bet: Back Bologna to win 1-0 with under 2.5 goals and no BTTS for best value considering defensive solidity and Roma's key absences.
Key Stats: - Bologna momentum 30/45 vs Roma 18/45 - Bologna 4 clean sheets in last 5 matches - Roma average 2.2 goals/game but 7 conceded in last 5