# Empoli vs Cesena Serie B Preview and Prediction – 28 February 2026
The upcoming Serie B clash between Empoli and Cesena at Stadio Carlo Castellani presents an intriguing matchup shaped by form, standings, and historical context. Bookmakers have priced the odds closely, indicating a competitive fixture without a clear favorite; this suggests a balanced contest. Empoli sits 11th with 30 points, while Cesena is 8th with 37 points, a 3-place gap that does not strongly favor either side but slightly leans towards Cesena. Momentum heavily favors neither team, with Empoli's momentum at a low 10/45 and Cesena's even lower at 6/45, both reflecting poor recent form. Empoli's recent five matches show no wins, three draws, and two losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8, with just one clean sheet, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Cesena's form is worse, with one win and four losses, conceding 13 goals in five matches, though they also have one clean sheet. Both teams average 1.20 goals per game in this period, suggesting moderate offensive output but defensive frailty. Historically, Empoli has dominated the head-to-head with four wins in the last six meetings, including a recent 1-0 away victory, giving them a psychological edge. Home advantage may help Empoli stabilize, though their recent home form is mixed with draws and losses. No significant injuries reported for Cesena, while Empoli is missing Luca Magnino due to suspension and Pietro Pellegri due to injury, which could weaken their squad depth. Given the low momentum and close odds, a low-scoring, tight game is expected. The data suggests a narrow home win or a draw, with BTTS likely given defensive weaknesses on both sides. Overall, the match leans slightly towards Empoli due to historical dominance and home advantage but remains finely balanced.
## Predictions
Match Winner: home (45%) Over/Under 2.5: under (65% confidence) Both Teams to Score: yes (70% confidence) Correct Score: 2-1 Confidence Level: medium
Best Bet: Consider a home win with BTTS as the best value bet given Empoli's historical edge and both teams' defensive struggles.
Key Stats: - Empoli has won 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matches - Both teams average 1.20 goals per game in last 5 matches - Empoli momentum 10/45 vs Cesena momentum 6/45 (both poor)