# Valencia vs Alaves La Liga Preview and Betting Analysis - 8 March 2026
The upcoming La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves at Estadio de Mestalla presents an intriguing matchup shaped by contrasting momentum and historical trends. Bookmakers have not provided explicit odds here, but given Valencia's home advantage and average momentum of 24/45 compared to Alaves' poor momentum of 7/45, Valencia is favored to win. Valencia's recent form shows mixed results with two wins and three losses, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6, averaging 1.0 goal per game with two clean sheets in the last five matches. Alaves, however, are struggling significantly with no wins in their last five, conceding 10 goals and scoring 5, with zero clean sheets and a cold momentum score indicating poor form. This suggests defensive vulnerabilities for Alaves and a likely advantage for Valencia's attack. Historically, Alaves have had the upper hand in head-to-head with five wins to Valencia's two in the last ten meetings, but recent encounters have been tight, including a 0-0 draw in their last match. Injuries to key Valencia defenders such as Mouctar Diakhaby and Dimitri Foulquier could weaken their backline, but Alaves' offensive struggles may mitigate this risk. Given Valencia's home advantage, better momentum, and defensive solidity, they are expected to edge this contest. The combined goal average is low (around 2.0 combined), supporting an under 2.5 goals market. Both teams have scored in 60% of their recent matches, but Valencia's two clean sheets and Alaves' none suggest BTTS is less likely. Overall, the data points to a narrow home win with a low-scoring game, possibly 1-0 or 2-0.
## Predictions
Match Winner: home (50%) Over/Under 2.5: under (65% confidence) Both Teams to Score: no (70% confidence) Correct Score: 1-0 Confidence Level: medium
Best Bet: Back Valencia to win under 2.5 goals with no both teams to score for best value.
Key Stats: - Valencia momentum 24/45 vs Alaves 7/45 - Valencia 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches, Alaves 0 - Head-to-head last 10: Alaves 5 wins, Valencia 2 wins, 3 draws