Alaves vs Mallorca: Alaves Poised to Edge Mallorca in La Liga Clash at Mendizorrotza

# Alaves vs Mallorca: Alaves Poised to Edge Mallorca in La Liga Clash at Mendizorrotza This La Liga encounter between Alaves and Mallorca offers a compelling contest with Alaves narrowly favored to secure the victory. Despite Mallorca's recent momentum, accumulating 27 points from the last 45 compared to Alaves' 10, the home side's consistency and home advantage at Estadio Mendizorrotza tilt the scales in their favor. Alaves' recent form includes a win and three draws in their last five matches, showcasing resilience, while Mallorca's form, although strong with three wins, one draw, and one loss, is less stable on the road. The head-to-head record slightly favors Mallorca with four wins to Alaves' two in their last nine meetings, but three draws indicate a competitive balance, reinforcing the likelihood of a close contest. The betting odds reflect this, with Alaves at 2.15 (44% implied probability), suggesting market confidence in their home performance. Both teams average over 1.8 goals per game, and Alaves has scored 11 and conceded 11, while Mallorca has a tighter defense with only 5 conceded, but both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets (Alaves with zero and Mallorca with one), supporting the prediction of both teams scoring. The expectation of over 2.5 goals at 65% confidence aligns with their attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities, making a 2-1 scoreline plausible. Overall, Alaves' home advantage, solid recent form, and the balanced head-to-head history justify the prediction of a narrow home win with goals from both sides. ## Predictions **Match Winner:** home (41%) **Over/Under 2.5:** over (65% confidence) **Both Teams to Score:** yes (70% confidence) **Correct Score:** 2-1 **Confidence Level:** low **Best Bet:** Back Alaves to win with both teams scoring, capitalizing on their home advantage and attacking potential while acknowledging Mallorca's ability to find the net. **Key Stats:** - Alaves' home odds at 2.15 imply a 44% chance of victory, the highest among the outcomes. - Both teams have failed to keep clean sheets frequently (Alaves 0 CS, Mallorca 1 CS), supporting BTTS yes. - Recent form favors Alaves' resilience with W1 D3 L1 versus Mallorca's W3 D1 L1, combined with Alaves' home advantage.